donderdag 18 april 2013

Correlation: Initial Unemployment Claims Vs. S&P

Another way to value the stock market is to look at the initial unemployment claims. You take the inverted chart of this metric and you will see that this is highly correlated with the S&P index.
Chart 1: Initial Unemployment Claims (Inverted) Vs S&P Index
So whenever you hear that the initial unemployment claims went up, you sell the S&P index.

Oh, and what do you know, weekly initial unemployment claims just went up:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-weekly-jobless-claims-edge-up-to-352000-2013-04-18?link=MW_latest_news

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