zaterdag 19 juli 2014

U.S. Treasury Yields

This page is created to monitor the U.S. treasury yields. Recessions can be predicted clearly as they coincide with narrowing yield spreads.

As you can see, the yield spread narrowed in 2000 and 2007, which were the omens of two recessionary events: NASDAQ bubble and 2008 crisis.

The following dynamic yield curve chart shows how the top of the stock market can be predicted by the flattening yield curve.

On the following chart we can also see that the yield curve is a predictor of the economy (coincident indicator).

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